Toward a Better Paradigm for Head and Neck Cancer Treatment Applying AI (HNC-TACTIC): Protocol for an International
Hisham Mehanna1, Jacobo Rogado2, Alejandro Castro Calvo3
1Institute of Cancer and Genomic Sciences, Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Background:
Head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs) cause considerable morbidity and mortality. Multimodal treatment strategies can cause significant toxicity, and therapy options are limited for recurrent disease. Immunotherapy has emerged as a promising approach. However, patient response variability underscores the need for better predictive markers.
Objective:
This study aims to use artificial intelligence to develop two predictive models in patients with HNSCC to assess (1) progression or recurrence following primary curative treatment and (2) long-term survival after immunotherapy schemes in recurrent and metastatic disease. This study will also describe the characteristics of patients with early, locally advanced, and recurrent or metastatic cancers.
Methods:
This is a retrospective, observational study of data captured in electronic health records (EHRs) from participating hospitals between January 1, 2014, and December 31, 2021. This study's population comprises adults diagnosed with HNSCC at any stage. Study variables, including demographics, comorbidities, clinical variables, treatments, and outcomes, will be extracted using EHRead, a technology that applies natural language processing and machine learning to extract and analyze structured and unstructured clinical information in deidentified EHRs. Predictive models based on dynamic risk stratification for treatment response and progression or recurrence will be developed using multivariable logistic regressions, decision tree classifiers, and random forest approaches. Descriptive and outcome analyses will be shown for different anatomic subsites and stratified by stage and treatment.
Results:
This study began enrolling sites in July 2021 and is currently ongoing. By December 2025, data from 10 centers has been collected, comprising a total of 151,934,990 EHRs from 2,159,719 patients.
Conclusions:
Development of predictive models using artificial intelligence will advance clinical understanding of HNSCC to improve patient outcomes.