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Long-term simulation of 137Cs behavior in the ocean around Fukushima considering multiphase interaction processes
Tsubasa Ikenoue1, Takahiro Nakanishi1, Hideyuki Kawamura1
1Japan Atomic Energy Agency, 2-4 Shirakata, Tokai-mura, Naka-gun, Ibaraki, 319-1195, Japan.
Marine Pollution Bulletin
|July 14, 2026
Summary
Fukushima
Area of Science:
- Marine environmental science
- Radiological impact assessment
- Oceanographic modeling
Background:
- The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident released significant amounts of cesium-137 (137Cs) into the marine environment.
- Cesium-137 exists in dissolved, suspended, seabed sediment, and biota phases in the ocean, with interphase interactions influencing its long-term fate.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and utilize an oceanic dispersion model incorporating multiphase behavior.
- To evaluate the impact of interphase interactions on the long-term behavior of 137Cs over a decade post-accident.
Main Methods:
- Development of a multiphase oceanic dispersion model for 137Cs.
- Validation of the model against oceanographic conditions and plankton/particle/137Cs behavior.
- Quantitative analysis of interphase interactions and their contribution to 137Cs retention.
Main Results:
- The model accurately reproduced oceanographic conditions and the behavior of 137Cs.
- Dissolved and seabed sediment phases were key for early and later 137Cs behavior, respectively.
- Offshore 137Cs levels returned to pre-accident levels within 10 years, while coastal levels remained elevated due to seabed sediment sources.
Conclusions:
- Seabed sediment acts as a long-term source of 137Cs in coastal waters.
- Factors like fine-grained particles, riverine input, early surface accumulation, and vertical mixing influence 137Cs retention in sediments.
- Understanding interphase dynamics is crucial for predicting the long-term marine radiological impact.
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