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Integrating Yield Stability and Gross Revenue: Multi-Year Evaluation of Coffea canephora Genotypes
Alana Mara Kolln1,2, Rafael Nunes de Almeida3, Rodrigo Barros Rocha3,4
1Federal Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Rondônia (IFRO), Campus São Miguel do Guaporé, São Miguel do Guaporé 76932-000, RO, Brazil.
Abstract:
Agricultural research helps us to reduce the risks associated with climate variability, pests and diseases, market fluctuations, and biennial bearing. However, genotype characterization is often conducted independently of economic performance and yield stability, limiting the identification of genotypes that combine high yield, stability, and economic return potential. This study characterized the genotype × harvest season interaction and gross revenue of Coffea canephora clones evaluated in Rondônia, Brazil, over five harvest seasons (2021-2025). Twenty-eight genotypes were evaluated in a randomized complete block design with four replications and five plants per plot, and yield stability was assessed using the centroid method. Cumulative yield over five harvest seasons totaled 306.22 bags ha-1, with a mean of 61.24 bags ha-1 per harvest season. The genotype × harvest season interaction revealed distinct temporal yield patterns. Genotypes closest to the ideotype of maximum yield and stability included BAG19, BRS1216, GJ8, GJ25, AS2, and BAG24. Gross revenue simulations based on contrasting historical coffee price scenarios indicated the economic superiority of these clones. Differences in yield potential contributed more to gross revenue variation than biennial bearing. Relative to the overall mean of the 28 genotypes, these clones achieved an 85% increase in mean yield and a 61.2% increase in mean gross revenue.
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