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Lévy Versus Wiener: Assessing the Effects of Model Misspecification on Diffusion Model Parameters.

Tuba Hato1, Lukas Schumacher2, Stefan T Radev3

  • 1Institute of Psychology, Heidelberg University, Hauptstrasse 47-51, 69117 Heidelberg, Germany.

Computational Brain & Behavior
|July 16, 2026
PubMed
Summary

Analyzing data with the diffusion decision model (DDM) may cause biases if the true process follows the Lévy-flight model (LFM). Simulations show the DDM misestimates parameters when applied to LFM data, though experimental results were comparable.

Keywords:
Amortized Bayesian inferenceDiffusion decision modelLévy-flight modelModel misspecificationParameter recovery

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Computational Neuroscience
  • Decision Science

Background:

  • The Lévy-flight model (LFM) enhances the diffusion decision model (DDM) by incorporating heavy-tailed noise in evidence accumulation.
  • Previous research suggests the LFM may more accurately represent binary decision-making processes than the standard DDM.
  • Analyzing data generated by the LFM using the classical DDM could lead to misinterpretations of underlying cognitive mechanisms.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate estimation biases when analyzing Lévy-flight model (LFM) data with the diffusion decision model (DDM).
  • To compare the performance of neural network-based inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for parameter estimation.
  • To evaluate model performance on experimental data with manipulated speed and accuracy demands.

Main Methods:

  • Extensive simulations were conducted using both basic and full versions of the DDM and LFM.
  • Cross-fitting via simulation-based inference with neural networks (BayesFlow framework) was employed.
  • A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach served as a benchmark for neural network estimates.

Main Results:

  • Neural networks and MCMC showed comparable estimation performance for the basic DDM.
  • The basic DDM systematically overestimated boundary separation and underestimated non-decision time for LFM-generated data.
  • The full DDM exhibited overestimation of boundary separation and inter-trial variabilities in starting point and non-decision time.

Conclusions:

  • DDM analyses can introduce significant biases when the underlying data-generating process is better described by the LFM.
  • Despite simulation biases, both DDM and LFM provided convergent interpretations when applied to experimental data.
  • The stability parameter (α) in the LFM showed condition-specific differences in the experimental task.