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Association of Left Atrial Structure and Function with Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Black and White Adults: the
Yuchen Li1, Elsayed Z Soliman2, Srishti Shrestha3
1Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Insights
Black individuals have lower atrial fibrillation (AF) risk than White individuals. While left atrial (LA) size and function impact AF risk in both groups, they do not explain this racial disparity, highlighting the complexity of AF epidemiology.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Epidemiology
- Racial Health Disparities
Background:
- Black individuals exhibit lower atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence compared to White individuals, despite a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors.
- Investigating racial differences in left atrial (LA) structure and function may elucidate the observed AF risk patterns.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the association between echocardiographic measures of LA structure and function and incident AF across racial groups.
- To determine if LA characteristics explain the lower AF incidence in Black versus White individuals.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 4,576 participants (978 Black, 3,598 White) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (2011-2021).
- Utilized race-specific Cox proportional hazards models to assess LA measures and AF incidence, adjusting for covariates.
- Evaluated the potential for LA measures to attenuate the race-AF risk association.
Main Results:
- Larger LA size and poorer LA function correlated with increased AF risk in both Black and White participants.
- Most LA measures showed similar associations across races, except for LA reservoir strain, which was more strongly associated with AF risk in Black individuals.
- White participants had a higher AF risk (HR 1.59) than Black participants, and this disparity was not significantly reduced by adjusting for LA measures.
Conclusions:
- LA remodeling (size and function) is a significant predictor of incident AF in both Black and White individuals.
- However, LA structural and functional differences do not account for the lower AF incidence observed in Black individuals.
- The Black-White AF paradox remains unexplained by current LA remodeling metrics.
Background:
Black individuals have a lower incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) than White individuals despite a higher burden of many traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Differences in left atrial (LA) structure and function by race could partly explain the observed pattern of AF risk.
Methods:
This analysis included 4,576 (978 Black and 3,598 White) participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, followed between 2011 and 2021. The association of selected echocardiographic measures of LA structure and function with AF incidence was evaluated with race-specific Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for sociodemographic and clinical covariates. Additional analyses assessed whether LA measures attenuated the association between race and incident AF.
Results:
The analysis included 778 AF cases (113 in Black and 665 in White participants, mean age 75 years). Larger LA size and worse LA function were associated with higher AF risk in both Black and White individuals, with most associations of similar magnitude in both groups, except for a slightly stronger association of LA reservoir strain in Black than White participants (Black: hazard ratio (HR) 0.89, 95% CI 0.86-0.92 per 1% increase; White: HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.95, p for interaction = 0.01). In the overall sample, White participants showed higher AF risk compared to Black participants (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.24-2.03). Adjustment for most individual LA measures did not attenuate the association between race and AF risk.
Conclusion:
Larger LA size and worse LA function were associated with incident AF in both Black and White ARIC participants. However, these measures did not explain the lower AF incidence observed among Black participants. LA remodeling appears to be an important predictor of AF risk, but it is not the primary explanation for the Black-White AF paradox.
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