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Toward Clinical Implementation of Polygenic Scores for Substance Use Disorders: A Multi-Ancestry Study
Medrxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences
|July 17, 2026
Summary
Polygenic scores (PGS) show clinical relevance for predicting substance use disorders in European and Latinx populations. Performance in African ancestry requires further investigation due to lower predictive power in validation datasets.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Psychiatry
- Pharmacogenomics
Background:
- Substance use disorders (SUDs) represent a significant public health challenge.
- Developing accurate predictive tools for SUDs is crucial for early intervention and personalized treatment.
- Genetic factors play a substantial role in an individual's susceptibility to SUDs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate clinically relevant polygenic scores (PGS) for alcohol (AUD), cannabis (CanUD), opioid (OUD), tobacco (TUD), and polysubstance use disorders (polySUD).
- To assess the performance of these PGS across African (AA), European (EA), and Latinx (LA) ancestry populations.
- To evaluate the clinical utility of PGS for risk prediction in diverse populations.
Main Methods:
- Utilized genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics and multiple PGS methods.
- Developed and evaluated SUD PGS in the Indiana Biobank (IB) and validated top performers in the All of Us Research Program (AOU).
- Defined cases and controls using ICD-9/10 codes, with clinical relevance set at an odds ratio (OR) >=2 for the highest PGS group.
Main Results:
- In EA and LA populations, all PGS achieved clinically relevant performance in both IB and AOU datasets (ORs: 2.00-9.10).
- In AA populations, PGS met the clinical relevance threshold in IB (ORs: 2.02-2.71) but not in AOU (ORs: 1.28-1.56).
- Opioid use disorder (OUD) PGS demonstrated the strongest associations, followed by cannabis use disorder (CanUD) and polysubstance use disorder (polySUD) PGS.
Conclusions:
- PGS show clinically meaningful risk prediction for SUDs in EA and LA populations, supporting potential clinical implementation for population-level screening.
- The reduced performance of PGS in AA populations highlights the critical need for increased genetic research within this demographic.
- Further research is warranted to improve PGS accuracy and utility across all ancestral groups for equitable SUD risk assessment.
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