Age-stratified multimodal MRI and machine learning to explore autism-related brain characteristics in youth

Autism is a common neurodevelopmental condition (NDC) that is characterized by restricted, repetitive behaviors and social communication differences that can impact the daily functioning of individuals. The clinical diagnosis of autism can be challenging, mainly due to its behavioral variability and frequent co-occurrence with other NDCs. This study investigates the ability of machine learning-based classification models trained using multimodal neuroimaging data combined with feature-importance analyses to identify development-specific brain characteristics associated with autism.

A total of 144 participants aged 5 to 18 years with structural MRI (sMRI), diffusion MRI (dMRI), and resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI) data available were obtained from the Autism Brain Imaging Data Exchange (ABIDE) database. Radiomic features were extracted from each MRI data modality and used to train support vector machine (SVM) classifiers to identify neuroimaging patterns associated with autism. Single MRI modality classifiers, as well as one combining all three modalities, were trained for comparison purposes. To investigate age-specific effects, the same approach was followed for three age sub-groups: younger children (5-11 years), adolescents (12-18 years), and the entire 5-18 years age cohort. Model performance was evaluated using leave-one-out cross-validation across 30 diagnosis-balanced data splits. Feature-importance analyses were conducted to identify the most important neuroimaging features for classification.

The classification accuracies of the unimodal models ranged from 68.3% to 75.3% for sMRI, from 69.3% to 77.6% for dMRI, and from 66.3% to 69.9% for rs-fMRI data across age groups. Among all single imaging modalities and age groups, dMRI showed the highest performance with a 77.6% accuracy in younger children (5-11 years). The multimodal approach improved classification performance when compared to the unimodal models in all age groups, achieving accuracies of 78.9%, 76.7%, and 70.5% in the younger, adolescent, and entire age cohorts, respectively. Our findings indicate that multimodal classifiers integrating complementary structural, microstructural, and functional imaging features result in a more comprehensive representation of brain features that strengthens model performance. The most informative brain regions for classification differed between children and adolescents while several diffusion-derived features significantly correlated with social responsiveness scores, emphasizing the clinical importance of studying white and gray matter microstructure in autism.

This study demonstrates the potential of multimodal neuroimaging-based machine learning models to identify development-specific biomarkers associated with autism. The results highlight the value of integrating age-stratified analyses of multimodal neuroimaging to better capture autism-associated developmental brain characteristics. The framework adopted in this study could be extended to explore other NDCs in the future.