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[Spatiotemporal Evolution Pattern and Influencing Factors of the Coupling Coordination Between Digital New Quality
Dong-Ming Gu1, Xiao-Fei Hu1,2, Jia-Ning Zhang1
1School of Public Policy and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China.
Abstract:
This study employs the Super-SBM model, coupling coordination degree model, spatial correlation analysis, and geographical detector to explore the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of the coupling coordination between digital new quality productivity and energy carbon emission efficiency across 30 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2023. The results indicate: ① Digital new quality productivity exhibited an "N"-shaped upward trend, with a spatial distribution pattern of "eastern > central > western" regions. Energy carbon emission efficiency showed a "U"-shaped trend of initial decline followed by an increase, with overall efficiency improving and a spatial distribution of "eastern > western > central" regions. ② The coupling coordination degree between digital new quality productivity and energy carbon emission efficiency displayed an "N"-shaped upward trend, spatially characterized by "eastern > central > western" regions. By 2018, all provinces transitioned from imbalance to coordination, but the disparity between high and low coupling coordination provinces gradually widened, indicating a trend of multi-tier differentiation. ③ The coupling coordination degree demonstrated significant positive spatial correlation and agglomeration effects, with low-low agglomeration being the dominant local spatial clustering type. ④ Economic development level, urbanization, and R&D intensity were the primary driving factors, while industrial structure, opening-up, environmental regulation, fiscal support, and human capital were secondary drivers. The interaction effects between factors manifested as either dual-factor enhancement or nonlinear enhancement. Clarifying the dynamic changes and driving mechanisms of the coupling and coordination between digital new quality productivity and energy carbon emission efficiency can provide theoretical foundations and practical support for empowering the dual development of the digital new quality productivity and low-carbon energy, as well as achieving the synergistic advancement of the "Digital China" and "dual carbon" goals.
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