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The Rise of Productivity Culture: Assessing Trends in Scholarly Output Among Medical Students Applying to General
Tyler Lackland1, Benjamin Pointer1, Seraphim Le1
1School of Medicine, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Objective:
To evaluate longitudinal trends in scholarly output among U.S. MD applicants to general surgery and assess associations with match competitiveness.
Design:
Repeated cross-sectional, cycle-level longitudinal analysis of publicly available the National Resident Matching Program data from 2007 to 2024.
Setting:
United States National Resident Matching Program.
Participants:
U.S. MD senior applicants to general surgery residency programs across 9 match cycles.
Results:
Mean scholarly output among U.S. MD applicants increased from 2.2 in 2007 to 10.9 in 2024. The proportion of matched applicants with 5 or more scholarly products increased significantly over time (β = 0.037/year, p < 0.001) while those with zero scholarly products declined (β =-0.015/year, p < 0.001). Matched applicants demonstrated higher scholarly output than unmatched applicants (5.6 vs 3.8 products).
Conclusions:
Scholarly output among general surgery applicants has increased substantially over time, driven primarily by temporal trends rather than changes in competitiveness. Our findings suggest a shift toward a "productivity culture" in residency applications, with implications for surgical education structure, including equity and residency selection practices.
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