Related Experiment Video
Updated: Aug 6, 2026

Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Durable Cancer Control and Extended Long-Term Survival Following Salvage Surgery for Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the
Paul Savage1, David P Cyr1,2,3, Dan E Schiller4
1Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Aim:
Salvage surgery is the standard-of-care for patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the anal canal (SCCa) who experience isolated locoregional failure after upfront chemoradiotherapy. While perioperative morbidity and short-term survival outcomes have been described, long-term outcomes of surgical salvage are unknown. This study examines recurrence patterns and survival in a cohort of patients with extended follow-up.
Method:
A retrospective chart review was performed on a cohort of consecutive patients who underwent salvage surgery at two specialized cancer centers between 1987 and 2006. Overall, disease-specific and re-recurrence-free survival (OS, DSS, RRFS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic variables were evaluated using univariate and multivariable Cox models.
Results:
Forty patients were included (29 female, 11 male; median age 56). Median follow-up was 16.5 years (IQR 15.0-20.5) for patients alive at last follow-up. Re-recurrence developed in 52% of patients, 95% of which occurred within 3 years of salvage surgery; re-recurrence was associated with a 91% risk of subsequent SCCa-specific mortality. DSS was 45% (95% CI 30-61) at 5 years, after which point conditional 5-year DSS was 100%.
Conclusion:
Approximately half of patients who undergo salvage surgery for persistent/recurrent SCCa experience durable cancer control with extended long-term survival. Emerging treatment options such as immunotherapy should be evaluated relative to this benchmark.

