Prenatal exposure to particulate matter (PM) and autism spectrum disorder (ASD) among children: a systematic review...

The global surge in Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) cases, coupled with evidence linking prenatal Particulate Matter (PM) exposure to developmental disruption, demands a comprehensive review to design targeted health interventions. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the strength and consistency of evidence linking prenatal PM exposure to ASD across studies, quantifying this relation to identify actionable environmental risk thresholds. This study employed PRISMA protocols to systematically extract and evaluate evidence from PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and ScienceDirect (2010-2024), and screened 4,013 articles to identify qualified case-control and cohort studies (n=29). Data synthesis employed random-effects modeling, accompanied by comprehensive assessment through I² statistics, Q-tests, funnel plots, Duval and Tweedie's trim-and-fill analysis, and Egger's regression, to ensure validity. A meta-analysis of 16 case-control studies revealed a 34 % increased risk of ASD associated with prenatal PM exposure (pooled OR=1.34; 95 % CI: 1.13-1.54), despite substantial between-study heterogeneity (I²=94.02 %, p<0.001). Publication bias was not significant (Egger's test p value=0.114). Critical trimester-specific analysis uncovered that third-trimester exposure significantly increased ASD risk (OR=1.17; 95 % CI: 1.01-1.34), while first-trimester (OR=1.02; 95 % CI: 0.92-1.11; I²=49.18 %, p<0.10) and second-trimester exposures (OR=1.13; 95 % CI: 0.88-1.38; I²=92.59 %, p<0.001) showed non-significant associations. This review identified prenatal and early life exposure to PM as a risk factor for ASD, indicating a trimester-specific vulnerability. It highlighted the necessity of focused air quality interventions and targeted guidance to reduce prenatal PM exposure to alleviate ASD risk during the critical-window.