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Predictive value of complete blood cell count-based inflammatory markers for peritonitis risk in peritoneal dialysis
Xue Li1,2, Wenlong Qiu1,2, Qingdong Xu3
1Department of Nephrology, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, China.
Background:
Peritonitis is a serious complication of peritoneal dialysis (PD). Inflammatory indices derived from routine complete blood count (CBC) parameters-including the pan-immune inflammatory value (PIV), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and platelet-to-monocyte ratio (PMR)-have shown prognostic value in various diseases. However, their comparative utility in predicting PD-associated peritonitis (PDAP) remains unclear. This multicenter cohort study aimed to evaluate and compare these indices to identify the best predictor of PDAP.
Methods:
We retrospectively enrolled 2,036 PD patients from 10 centers. The associations between inflammatory markers (PIV, SII, PLR, NLR, MLR, PMR) and peritonitis risk were analyzed using restricted cubic splines. Optimal cut-offs were determined by ROC analysis. Survival differences were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests. Independent predictors were identified via multivariate Cox regression, with model discrimination evaluated by the C-index. Subgroup analyses were conducted by gender, age, body mass index (BMI), diabetes, albumin, PD vintage, and residual renal function.
Results:
The median age was 51.0 years, 55.01% were male, and median dialysis vintage was 49.47 months. Diabetes prevalence was 21.02%. Over the follow-up, 147 patients (7.22%) developed peritonitis. Among the indices evaluated, PIV, SII, and PLR showed significant nonlinear associations with peritonitis risk (all P < 0.05). Adjusted hazard ratios were 2.004 for PIV, 2.144 for SII, and 2.063 for PLR. Adjusted C-indices were 0.67 (PIV), 0.70 (SII), and 0.70 (PLR). No significant interactions were found in subgroup analyses.
Conclusion:
Elevated PIV, SII, and PLR levels at PD initiation independently predict higher peritonitis risk. Although their discriminative ability is moderate, these routine, cost-effective indices may aid risk stratification and help identify patients needing closer monitoring or preventive interventions.
