Global and Regional Trends of Pediatric Enteric Infections, 1990-2021: Rising Modeled Burden of Invasive

Wensi Fan1, Kai Wang2, Tingting Tan1

  • 1Department of Critical Care Medicine, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.

Insights

Global enteric infections in children show mixed trends. While diarrheal diseases and typhoid fever declined, invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella infections increased globally, particularly in high-income regions, necessitating enhanced surveillance.

Area of Science:

  • Global health
  • Infectious diseases epidemiology
  • Pediatric infectious diseases

Background:

  • Enteric infections pose a significant global health burden, especially in children.
  • Understanding incidence trends of diarrheal diseases (DD), typhoid/paratyphoid fever (TP), and invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella (iNTS) is crucial for public health interventions.
  • Previous studies often lack a pediatric-specific focus and direct comparison between these enteric pathogens.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess global and regional incidence trends of DD, TP, and iNTS in children aged 0-14 years from 1990 to 2021.
  • To characterize temporal, regional, and socioeconomic patterns of these infections.
  • To contrast pediatric-specific iNTS trends with those of DD and TP.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study for enteric infection incidence.
  • Analyzed age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs).
  • Examined correlations between the socio-demographic index (SDI) and ASIRs to identify socioeconomic patterns.

Main Results:

  • Globally, DD and TP incidence declined, while iNTS incidence increased by 45.14% from 1990 to 2021.
  • The global AAPC for iNTS was 0.951%, with the highest increases observed in high-SDI regions, Western Europe, high-income Asia Pacific, and North America.
  • Countries like the UK showed significant iNTS AAPC increases, whereas regions with historically high iNTS burden, such as Western sub-Saharan Africa, exhibited declining trends.

Conclusions:

  • Despite overall declines in DD and TP, iNTS shows concerning modeled increases globally and in high-income areas among children.
  • These pediatric-specific findings contrast with previous all-age analyses and highlight regional disparities.
  • The rise in iNTS in high-income regions warrants urgent attention, including enhanced surveillance, serovar identification, and antimicrobial resistance monitoring.

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