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Preoperative Risk Score for Predicting Delayed Wound Healing After Plate Fixation in Patients With Closed Distal
Masaya Mizutani1, Toshiaki Kotani1, Shun Okuwaki2
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Seirei Sakura Citizen Hospital, Sakura, JPN.
Cureus
|July 23, 2026
Summary
A new scoring system predicts delayed wound healing after distal fibular fracture surgery. This tool helps identify high-risk patients for better surgical planning and fewer complications.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic surgery
- Wound healing research
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Delayed wound healing after open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) for distal fibular fractures poses risks to patient recovery and increases infection rates.
- Effective prediction of wound healing complications is crucial for optimizing patient outcomes in orthopedic trauma care.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a straightforward preoperative scoring system to predict delayed wound healing in patients undergoing plate fixation for closed distal fibular fractures.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective cohort study analyzed 84 patients with closed distal fibular fractures treated with plate fixation.
- Preoperative variables including age, diabetes, fracture complexity, and planned plate number were collected and analyzed using logistic regression to create a weighted risk score.
- Delayed wound healing was defined using the Southampton Wound Assessment Scale (Grade 2 or higher).
Main Results:
- Delayed wound healing was observed in 30 patients.
- Independent predictors identified were age ≥70 years, complex fracture type, and the use of ≥2 plates, with diabetes mellitus also retained.
- A scoring system was developed: age and diabetes (1 point each), fracture type and ≥2 plates (2 points each), demonstrating good predictive performance.
Conclusions:
- A simple, four-variable preoperative scoring system was successfully developed to predict delayed wound healing after ORIF for closed distal fibular fractures.
- This tool facilitates early risk stratification, enabling informed surgical planning and personalized perioperative care to mitigate wound complications.