Predicting the efficacy of classic ketogenic diet therapy in children with refractory epilepsy using dynamic changes

Jiang Li1, Tianqi Wang2, Lifei Yu2

  • 1Changsha Hospital for Maternal & Child Health Care Affiliated to Hunan Normal University, Changsha, 410007, China.

Seizure
|July 23, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Early monitoring of the glucose-ketone index (GKI) can predict classic ketogenic diet (CKD) efficacy in children with refractory epilepsy. A high GKI on day one suggests a poor response, enabling timely intervention adjustments.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Neurology
  • Metabolic Disorders
  • Epilepsy Management

Background:

  • Refractory epilepsy in children poses significant treatment challenges.
  • The classic ketogenic diet (CKD) is an established therapy for drug-resistant epilepsy.
  • Predicting CKD efficacy early is crucial for optimizing patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive value of dynamic changes in blood glucose, blood ketones, and the glucose-ketone index (GKI) for CKD efficacy in pediatric refractory epilepsy.
  • To identify early metabolic indicators of treatment response.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 189 children with refractory epilepsy on CKD.
  • Monitoring of blood glucose, blood ketones, and GKI at multiple time points during the initial phase of CKD.
  • Classification of patients into responder and non-responder groups based on seizure reduction and Engel's classification.

Main Results:

  • The GKI on the first day of CKD therapy was the best single predictor of efficacy (AUC = 0.638, cut-off 9.63).
  • Combining blood glucose (<4.95 mmol/L) and blood ketone (>0.75 mmol/L) levels showed improved predictive performance (AUC = 0.661).

Conclusions:

  • A GKI > 9.63 on the first day of CKD therapy may indicate a poor treatment response.
  • The initial phase of CKD is critical for metabolic adaptation.
  • Monitoring dynamic GKI and ketone levels can guide early intervention adjustments for improved efficacy.
Abstract

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