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Published on: March 7, 2025
Tumor Necrosis on Routine Pretreatment CT as a Potential Prognostic Marker in Advanced NSCLC Treated With Immune
Eiji Takeuchi1, Hirokazu Ogino2, Kensuke Kondo2
1Department of Clinical Investigation, National Hospital Organization Kochi Hospital, Kochi, Japan.
Thoracic Cancer
|July 26, 2026
Summary
CT-detected tumor necrosis is a potential prognostic marker for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Necrosis presence was linked to shorter overall survival, suggesting its value in predicting treatment outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Radiology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Prognostic value of CT-detected tumor necrosis in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is unclear.
- This study investigates tumor necrosis on pretreatment CT as an independent predictor of overall survival (OS).
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if CT-detected tumor necrosis independently predicts overall survival (OS) in advanced NSCLC patients receiving ICI monotherapy.
- To evaluate the prognostic significance of tumor necrosis in this patient population.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 151 advanced NSCLC patients treated with ICI monotherapy at two Japanese institutions.
- Tumor necrosis defined as intratumoral low attenuation or cavitary lesion ≥5mm on pretreatment CT; assessed visually.
- Cox regression analyses used to identify independent prognostic factors for OS, with bootstrap validation.
Main Results:
- 121 out of 151 patients (80%) showed CT-detected necrosis.
- Median OS was significantly shorter in patients with necrosis (374 days) compared to those without (1035 days; p=0.02).
- Tumor necrosis was an independent adverse prognostic factor (HR=1.84, p=0.04), alongside other biomarkers and clinical factors.
Conclusions:
- CT-detected tumor necrosis shows potential as an accessible prognostic marker for NSCLC patients treated with ICIs.
- Further validation in larger, prospective, multicenter studies with standardized CT protocols is necessary before clinical application.
