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Technique-Specific Load-Velocity Profiling and Prediction Equation for the Back Squat in Elite Portuguese Rugby
Gonçalo Rendeiro-Pinho1,2,3, André Sousa1,2, Antonio P Veloso3
1Performance Sports Centre, Go Athlete, Calçada Rio, Campo de Futebol 60, 1495-113 Algés, Portugal.
Sports (Basel, Switzerland)
|July 27, 2026
Summary
Barbell velocity accurately predicts training load for elite rugby players performing paused squats. This allows for individualized training intensity, improving performance and preventing injury.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Biomechanics
- Strength and Conditioning
Background:
- Velocity-based training (VBT) is increasingly used to optimize strength and power.
- Accurate prediction of training load is crucial for effective VBT programming.
- The paused parallel back squat is a common exercise, but its load-velocity relationship requires specific investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the accuracy of barbell velocity in predicting relative load (%1-RM) during a paused parallel back squat.
- To develop a population-specific prediction equation for elite rugby players.
- To assess the test-retest reliability of the load-velocity relationship in this population.
Main Methods:
- A repeated-measures design was employed with 25 elite Portuguese rugby players.
- An incremental loading protocol up to one-repetition maximum (1-RM) was performed.
- Polynomial regression analysis was used to establish the relationship between mean propulsive velocity (MPV) and %1-RM.
Main Results:
- A strong association was found between MPV and %1-RM (R² = 0.95), with good practical accuracy (SEE = 6.27 %1-RM).
- The load-velocity relationship demonstrated high test-retest stability.
- Elite rugby players exhibited distinct load-velocity profiles compared to other populations.
Conclusions:
- A technique- and population-specific prediction equation for the paused parallel back squat was developed.
- Individualized velocity-based training prescriptions are recommended over generalized equations.
- This provides a practical tool for regulating training intensity in elite rugby players.
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