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Discordance Between Perceived and Measured Procedural Competence in Trauma Surgery
Pamela Andreatta1, Mason Remondelli1, Mark Bowyer1
1Department of Surgery, Uniformed Services University of the Health Science and the Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland.
Journal of Surgical Education
|July 27, 2026
Summary
Surgeons often overestimate their surgical skills, a phenomenon known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. This study found surgeons overestimated their procedural competence in 28 of 29 trauma procedures.
Area of Science:
- Medical Education
- Surgical Skills Assessment
- Cognitive Bias in Medicine
Background:
- The Dunning-Kruger effect describes how individuals with low competence overestimate their abilities, while experts underestimate theirs.
- Understanding this effect in surgeons is crucial for assessing procedural competence.
- Surgeons' self-assessment of procedural skills remains poorly understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the correlation between self-rated and objectively measured procedural competence in surgeons.
- To examine the Dunning-Kruger effect in the context of 29 specific trauma procedures.
Main Methods:
- 452 military general surgeons participated, with experience ranging from residents to over 20 years.
- Participants rated their perceived competence for 29 trauma procedures before a cadaver lab session.
- Expert trauma faculty directly assessed surgeons' performance during these procedures.
Main Results:
- Correlational analyses (Kendall tau) revealed no significant correlation between perceived and measured competencies (p < 0.05).
- Surgeons demonstrated overestimation of their procedural competence for 28 out of 29 procedures.
- This overestimation was evident when compared to independently assessed procedural performance.
Conclusions:
- The Dunning-Kruger effect was confirmed in the studied surgeon population.
- Surgeons consistently overestimated their abilities in most trauma procedures assessed.
- Findings highlight a potential disconnect between surgeon self-perception and actual procedural skill.