Spatio-Temporal Evolution of Ecological Network Resilience in the Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone from the Perspective...

Ecological network resilience is an important indicator for evaluating whether regional ecosystems can maintain structural connectivity and functional stability under external disturbance. However, long-term changes in ecological network structure and robustness in the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone remain insufficiently understood. Based on land-use data from 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020, this study integrated Morphological Spatial Pattern Analysis (MSPA), landscape connectivity assessment, the MCR model, complex network analysis, and robustness simulations to evaluate the spatio-temporal evolution of ecological network resilience in the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone. The results showed that the area of selected ecological sources in the study area decreased from 39.97% in 1990 to 33.14% in 2020, indicating continuous source-area shrinkage and habitat fragmentation. The ecological resistance surface showed increasing spatial heterogeneity, with relatively low resistance in mountain and lakeside wetland areas and high resistance in the central plain areas affected by agricultural and construction-land expansion. Topological analysis showed that network density increased from 0.10 to 0.15, average path length decreased from 3.04 to 2.53, and network efficiency increased from 0.34 to 0.45, suggesting enhanced local connectivity and transmission efficiency. However, the largest connected component decreased from 37 to 26, indicating a decline in regional-scale connectivity and an increasing risk of network fragmentation. Robustness simulations further showed that the network was relatively tolerant to random disturbance but highly sensitive to the priority failure of key nodes and corridors. Overall, the ecological network evolved from relatively continuous connectivity toward local clustering and residual trunk corridors. These findings suggest that ecological restoration in the Poyang Lake Eco-economic Zone should prioritize major ecological sources, cross-regional corridors, stepping-stone habitats, and critical linkage areas to improve network-level resilience.