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Blood DNA Methylation Predicts Long-Term Risk of Dementia in Prospective Cohorts
Adam X Maihofer1,2, Caroline E Mackey1, Josephine A Robertson3
1Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Medrxiv : the Preprint Server for Health Sciences
|July 29, 2026
Summary
A specific DNA methylation site in blood, cg05917797, shows promise as an early dementia risk marker. Higher methylation at this site is linked to a reduced risk of developing dementia.
Area of Science:
- Epigenetics
- Neuroscience
- Gerontology
Background:
- Blood-based DNA methylation may offer early insights into dementia risk.
- Identifying pre-symptomatic biomarkers is crucial for dementia prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate blood DNA methylation patterns associated with long-term dementia risk.
- To identify and validate novel epigenetic biomarkers for incident all-cause dementia.
Main Methods:
- Conducted an epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) in 5,999 cognitively healthy women.
- Tested baseline blood DNA methylation for association with dementia onset over 25 years.
- Replicated findings in four independent cohorts and examined brain methylation data.
Main Results:
- One CpG site, cg05917797, showed a significant association with dementia risk (higher methylation, lower risk).
- This association remained robust after adjusting for APOE ε4, plasma p-tau217, and epigenetic age.
- Replication in meta-analyses confirmed cg05917797 as a reproducible marker, also linked to lower Braak stage in brain tissue.
Conclusions:
- cg05917797 is a reproducible blood-based epigenetic marker for long-term dementia risk.
- This finding supports the potential of DNA methylation for early dementia risk assessment.
- Further research identified additional CpG sites for future investigation.
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