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Left Atrial Coupling Indexes as New Mortality Predictors in Chronic Chagas Disease
Roberto M Saraiva1, Mauro Felippe F Mediano1, Henrique H Veloso1
1Clinical Research Laboratory in Chagas Disease, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Fiocruz, Evandro Chagas National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Insights
New echocardiographic indexes predict mortality in Chagas disease (CD) patients. The LA volumetric/mechanical coupling index (LAVI/A’) is a strong predictor of all-cause mortality, with higher values indicating increased risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Echocardiography
- Chagas Disease Research
Background:
- Chronic Chagas disease (CD) poses a significant risk for cardiovascular complications and mortality.
- Predictive markers for adverse outcomes in CD patients are crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive value of left atrioventricular coupling indexes for all-cause mortality in chronic Chagas disease patients.
- To assess the performance of left atrial (LA) over left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic volumes (LACI) and LA volumetric/mechanical coupling index (LAVI/A') in predicting mortality.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective longitudinal study of 382 chronic CD patients.
- Calculation of LACI (LA/LV end-diastolic volumes) and LAVI/A' (max LA volume index / late diastolic mitral annulus velocity).
- Multivariate Cox-proportional-hazards regression analysis to assess associations with all-cause mortality or heart transplant, adjusting for clinical and echocardiographic parameters.
Main Results:
- After a mean follow-up of 6.6 years, 80 deaths and 2 heart transplants occurred.
- Both LACI and LAVI/A' were significantly associated with the endpoint in multivariate analyses.
- LAVI/A' demonstrated superior predictive performance (AUC 0.87 vs. 0.65) and identified patients with a 19-fold higher mortality risk at a cutoff of 3.3 mL×s/cm-1/m2.
Conclusions:
- Novel echocardiographic left atrial coupling indexes, particularly LAVI/A', show significant promise.
- These indexes can effectively predict dismal clinical outcomes, including all-cause mortality, in patients with chronic Chagas disease.
- LAVI/A' may serve as a valuable tool for risk stratification in CD management.
Purpose:
This study aimed to evaluate the all-cause mortality predictive value of left atrioventricular coupling indexes in patients with chronic Chagas disease (CD).
Methods:
This single-center retrospective longitudinal study included 382 patients with chronic CD. The left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI) was defined as the ratio of left atrial (LA) over left ventricular (LV) end-diastolic volumes. LA volumetric/mechanical coupling index (LAVI/A') was the ratio of maximum LA volume index over late diastolic mitral annulus velocity. The endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality or heart transplant. The associations between LACI or LAVI/A' and the endpoint independent from clinical, electrocardiographic, and 2D echocardiographic parameters (Model I) or from Model I adjusting variables plus LV and LA strain parameters (Model II) were tested by multivariate Cox-proportional-hazards regression.
Results:
After a mean follow-up of 6.6 ± 2.7 years, 80 patients died and two underwent a heart transplant. LACI was associated with the endpoint in Models I (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, p = 0.01) and II (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, p = 0.0008). LAVI/A' was also associated with the endpoint in Models I (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.05-1.12, P < 0.0001) and II (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.12, P < 0.0001). The area under the ROC curve was larger for LAVI/A' than LACI (0.87 vs. 0.65, P < 0.0001). The optimal cutoff value for LAVI/A' was 3.3 mL × s/cm-1 per m2 (sensitivity 81.7%, specificity 83.7%). Patients with LAVI/A' ≥ 3.3 at baseline had a 19-fold higher risk for all-cause mortality.
Conclusion:
New echocardiographic LA coupling indexes are promising predictors of dismal clinical outcomes in CD.
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