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A flexible bivariate cure model with shared random effect and associated inference and application to diabetic
Saptangshu Nandi1, Sandip Barui1, Debanjan Mitra2
1Interdisciplinary Statistical Research Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, WB, India.
Statistical Methods in Medical Research
|July 30, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a flexible bivariate cure model to analyze paired lifetime data, accounting for both cure rates and dependence. The model effectively captures joint survival dynamics in situations with potential cures in one or both groups.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Survival Analysis
- Statistical Modeling
Background:
- Traditional cure models are limited to univariate data.
- Many real-world scenarios involve paired lifetimes with potential for cure and dependence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a flexible bivariate cure model for paired lifetime data.
- To simultaneously model cure fractions and dependence structures in marginal survival distributions.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a shared frailty term (generalized gamma distribution) to capture dependence.
- Employed parametric modeling for marginal survival distributions.
- Developed likelihood-based inference using the expectation-maximization algorithm.
Main Results:
- The proposed model effectively accommodates cured individuals in one or both marginals.
- Simulation studies demonstrated accurate parameter estimation and model efficiency.
- A real-world application on diabetic retinopathy highlighted the model's ability to reveal insights not found in univariate analyses.
Conclusions:
- The bivariate cure model provides a comprehensive statistical tool for paired lifetime data.
- It enhances the understanding of cure dynamics and survival dependence in biomedical research.
- Broadens the applicability of cure rate methodology to complex paired data scenarios.
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