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Baseline biochemical evaluation for etiologic differentiation in ACTH-dependent Cushing's syndrome: machine learning
Mario Detomas1, Juan P Prada Salcedo2, Barbara Altieri1
1Department of Internal Medicine I, Division of Endocrinology and Diabetes, University Hospital, University of Würzburg, 97080 Würzburg, Germany.
Insights
Differentiating adrenocorticotropin (ACTH)-dependent Cushing
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Diagnostic Medicine
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Limited corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH) availability hinders differentiation of ACTH-dependent Cushing's syndrome (CS).
- Diagnostic value of screening tests for distinguishing Cushing's disease (CD) from ectopic CS (ECS) is unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the diagnostic performance of screening tests for differentiating CD from ECS.
- To evaluate combined screening test models and machine learning algorithms for improved diagnostic accuracy.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective multicenter study of 566 patients with ACTH-dependent CS.
- Analysis of screening tests including morning ACTH, 24-hour urinary free cortisol (24h-UFC), and 1mg dexamethasone suppression test.
- Development of composite scoring models and machine learning algorithms, incorporating pituitary MRI findings.
Main Results:
- 24h-UFC demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance among individual tests (AUC=0.854).
- A composite score combining screening tests achieved 78% sensitivity and 92% specificity (AUC=0.865).
- Combining the composite score with MRI findings yielded 88% sensitivity and 85% specificity (AUC=0.931).
- Machine learning models showed promising diagnostic performance, particularly when including MRI findings (AUC=0.902).
Conclusions:
- Combined screening tests in composite scoring models and machine learning algorithms offer a potential diagnostic alternative to CRH stimulation tests.
- These approaches enhance the differentiation of ACTH-dependent CS, improving diagnostic accuracy.
Background:
Limited availability of corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH) currently complicates the differentiation of adrenocorticotropin (ACTH)-dependent Cushing's syndrome (CS). The diagnostic value of common screening tests in distinguishing Cushing's disease (CD) from ectopic CS (ECS) remains unclear.
Objective:
To assess the diagnostic performance of screening tests, alone and in combination, in differentiating CD from ECS.
Methods:
Retrospective multicenter study enrolling patients with confirmed ACTH-dependent CS and available screening tests at diagnosis. Data are expressed as multiples of upper limit of normal (×ULN). Optimal cut-offs were determined using Youden's Index. Combination with composite score models and machine learning algorithm were performed.
Results:
A total of 566 patients were included (509 [90%] with CD). The optimal morning ACTH cut-off was 1.8×ULN (sensitivity 74%, specificity 77%, AUC=0.776 [CI-95% .688-.853]). 24h-urinary free cortisol (24h-UFC) showed the best performance (cut-off 5.9×ULN, sensitivity 72%, specificity 83%, AUC=0.854 [.816-.923]), followed by the 1 mg dexamethasone suppression test (12.8×ULN, sensitivity 70%, specificity 86%, AUC=.828 [.740-.906]). Using a composite score, a cut-off of 1.5 yielded 78% sensitivity and 92% specificity (AUC=0.865 [.798-.933]). Combining this score with findings derived from pituitary magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), sensitivity and specificity were 88% and 85% (AUC=0.931 [.887-.974]). Machine learning algorithm (balanced random forest) including screening tests-results yielded a sensitivity of 71% and specificity of 84% (AUC=0.853 [.741-.966]), while including the MRI-findings variant achieved a sensitivity and specificity of 76% and 91% (AUC=0.902 [.805-.999]).
Conclusion:
Combining screening tests in composite scoring and machine learning differentiates subtypes of ACTH-dependent CS and offers a potential diagnostic alternative to the CRH stimulation test.
Related Concept Videos
Cushing Syndrome I: Introduction
Cushing Syndrome II: Pathophysiology
