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scOPE identifies which driver-associated expression programs transfer from bulk tumors to single cells
Andrew J Ashford1, Alex Lapadat2, Emek Demir1
1Department of Molecular & Medical Genetics and Knight Cancer Institute, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, OR 97239, USA.
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|August 1, 2026
Summary
Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) can now infer cancer driver mutations by learning expression patterns from bulk tumors. The scOPE tool selectively transfers these patterns to single-cell data, identifying specific mutations like NPM1 in AML.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Genomics
- Bioinformatics
Background:
- Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) offers high resolution of tumor heterogeneity but struggles to detect somatic mutations due to expression and transcription requirements.
- Bulk tumor sequencing provides matched genotype and expression data but lacks cellular resolution.
- Bridging this gap is crucial for understanding mutation-driven tumor evolution.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a computational tool, scOPE (single-cell Oncological Prediction Explorer), for inferring cancer driver mutations from scRNA-seq data.
- To assess the transferability and accuracy of cancer-specific expression axes learned from bulk tumors onto single-cell transcriptomes.
- To establish confidence metrics for evaluating the reliability of inferred mutation-associated transcriptional programs.
Main Methods:
- scOPE learns cancer-specific, driver-associated expression axes from bulk tumor data.
- These learned axes are then projected onto single-cell transcriptomes without refitting.
- A confidence score integrating bulk transferability, spatial coherence, score concentration, and copy-number variation (CNV) agreement is used to assess program reliability.
Main Results:
- The scOPE tool demonstrated selective transferability of driver-associated expression programs across seven malignancies, with 102 out of 158 models meeting safety criteria.
- High accuracy (AUROC ≥ 0.90) was achieved for specific driver-cancer pairs, notably AML NPM1 (0.971), glioblastoma IDH1 (0.963), and pancreatic adenocarcinoma KRAS (0.944).
- A confidence score effectively prioritized validated programs in AML and revealed mutation-associated transcriptional programs enriched in mutant-labeled cells (NPM1, TP53, DNMT3A), with NPM1 separation persisting at the patient level.
Conclusions:
- scOPE enables the recovery of continuous, mutation-associated transcriptional axes from existing scRNA-seq data, providing valuable insights into tumor biology.
- The tool offers explicit diagnostics to indicate when inferred transcriptional programs should be interpreted with caution.
- Inferred scores track CNV burden and can resolve discordant malignant populations, offering a new dimension for cancer subtyping and treatment monitoring.

