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Real-World Use of Subsidised Semaglutide in Icelandic Children With Obesity: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study
Sigrun Thorsteinsdottir1,2, Berglind Jonsdottir2,3, Anna S Olafsdottir1,2,4
1Faculty of Health Promotion, Sport and Leisure Studies, University of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland.
Insights
Subsidised semaglutide reversed upward weight trajectories in children with obesity. Neurodevelopmental disorder status did not significantly alter treatment response, suggesting broad applicability of this obesity medication.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Endocrinology
- Obesity Medicine
- Real-World Evidence Studies
Background:
- Limited real-world data exists for subsidised semaglutide use in pediatric obesity.
- Understanding treatment outcomes across diverse settings is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate clinical outcomes (%IOTF30 change) in Icelandic children prescribed subsidised semaglutide.
- To compare outcomes across different treatment settings.
- To examine semaglutide's effect on children with and without neurodevelopmental disorders (ND).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective, population-based cohort study.
- Utilized longitudinal anthropometric data from March 2021 to June 2025.
- Included children aged 12+ with grade 2 obesity eligible for universal reimbursement.
Main Results:
- Semaglutide reversed the upward weight trajectory, with an estimated reduction of 10.33 pp %IOTF30 at 12 months.
- 63% of participants achieved over 10 pp %IOTF30 reduction.
- No significant modification of treatment response was observed based on ND status (p=0.83).
Conclusions:
- Subsidised semaglutide effectively reversed weight gain trends in children with obesity.
- The universal subsidy policy facilitated high treatment persistence.
- Findings may inform international reimbursement policies, though generalisability requires caution.
Background:
Real-world evidence of subsidised semaglutide in children with obesity is scarce.
Objectives:
To describe clinical outcomes (%IOTF30 change) in a nationwide cohort of Icelandic children prescribed subsidised semaglutide, describing outcomes across treatment settings and examining treatment response in children with and without neurodevelopmental disorders (ND).
Methods:
Retrospective, population-based cohort study using longitudinal anthropometric measurements, March 20, 2021-June 6, 2025. Children aged ≥ 12 with grade 2 obesity were eligible for subsidised semaglutide under a universal reimbursement policy. Main outcomes were changes in %IOTF30 (BMI expressed as a percentage of the age- and sex-specific IOTF obesity threshold), modelled using piecewise linear mixed-effects regression.
Results:
Among 113 participants (44% female; mean [SD] age 15.2 [2.0] years), pre-treatment %IOTF30 rose at 0.29 percentage points (pp)/month (95% CI, 0.26, 0.33). Semaglutide was associated with trajectory reversal at -0.86 pp/month (95% CI, -1.06 to -0.66); estimated reductions were 5.17 (95% CI, 3.98, 6.36) and 10.33 (95% CI, 7.96, 12.71) pp at six and 12 months. On-treatment slopes were numerically similar across settings but not interpretable as evidence of equivalent response. ND-status did not significantly modify treatment response among 56 Pediatric Obesity Center participants (interaction p = 0.83; underpowered). Overall, 63% achieved %IOTF30 reductions exceeding 10 pp.
Conclusions:
Semaglutide was associated with reversal of a longstanding upward weight trajectory in children with obesity. ND-status did not significantly modify treatment response; analysis was underpowered. Universal subsidisation policy enabled high treatment persistence and may inform reimbursement policy in other countries, though generalisability to settings without universal coverage remains uncertain.
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