Analytic posterior distribution and bayes factor for pearson partial correlations

Šimon Kucharský1,2, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers1, Don van den Bergh1

  • 1Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Test (Madrid, Spain)
|August 3, 2026
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a new Bayesian method for analyzing partial correlations. It provides exact formulas for Bayes factors and posterior distributions, simplifying statistical inference.

Related Concept Videos

Microsoft Excel: Pearson's Correlation01:18

Microsoft Excel: Pearson's Correlation

Microsoft Excel is a powerful tool for statistical analysis, including calculating Pearson's correlation coefficient, which measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two continuous variables. Pearson's correlation coefficient, often denoted as "r," ranges from -1 to 1. A value close to 1 indicates a strong positive correlation, meaning as one variable increases, the other does too. A value close to -1 indicates a strong negative correlation, implying that as one...
Calculating and Interpreting the Linear Correlation Coefficient01:11

Calculating and Interpreting the Linear Correlation Coefficient

The correlation coefficient, r, developed by Karl Pearson in the early 1900s, is numerical and provides a measure of strength and direction of the linear association between the independent variable, x, and the dependent variable, y. Hence, it is also known as the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient. It can be calculated using the following equation:
Spearman's Rank Correlation Test01:20

Spearman's Rank Correlation Test

Spearman's rank correlation test, also known as Spearman's rho, is a nonparametric method for assessing the strength and direction of association between two variables. This test is particularly valuable when the data distribution is unknown or when the assumption of normality does not hold. Named after the English psychologist and statistician Dr. Charles Edward Spearman, it serves as the nonparametric counterpart to Pearson's correlation coefficient.
Spearman's test calculates correlation by...
Correlation and Regression00:53

Correlation and Regression

In statistics, correlation describes the degree of association between two variables. In the subfield of linear regression, correlation is mathematically expressed by the correlation coefficient, which describes the strength and direction of the relationship between two variables. The coefficient is symbolically represented by 'r' and ranges from -1 to +1. A positive value indicates a positive correlation where the two variables move in the same direction. A negative value suggests a negative...
Poisson Probability Distribution01:09

Poisson Probability Distribution

A Poisson probability distribution is a discrete probability distribution. It gives the probability of a number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space if these events happen at a known average rate and independently of the time since the last event. For example, a book editor might be interested in the number of words spelled incorrectly in a particular book. It might be that, on average, there are five words spelled incorrectly in 100 pages. The interval is 100 pages.
The...
Bonferroni Test01:10

Bonferroni Test

The Bonferroni test is a statistical test named after Carlo Emilio Bonferroni, an Italian mathematician best known for Bonferroni inequalities. This statistical test is a type of multiple comparison test to determine which means are different than the rest. Bonferroni test can minimize the Type 1 error by reducing the significance level alpha, which otherwise increases with sample pairs.
The means of different samples are first paired in all possible combinations.
The null hypothesis of the...