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Community-Acquired Pneumonia: Disease Course Prediction With a 5-Gene Signature
Holger Kirsten1,2,3, Sebastian Weis4,5,6, Peter Ahnert1,2,3
1Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology (IMISE), Leipzig University, Leipzig, Germany.
CHEST Pulmonary
|August 4, 2026
Summary
A novel 5-gene transcriptomic signature (STYCK) accurately predicts severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and patient outcomes. This signature outperforms existing clinical scores and improves early risk identification for better patient management.
Area of Science:
- Genomics
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) poses a significant risk of organ dysfunction and mortality.
- Current clinical evaluation and scoring systems have limitations in identifying high-risk CAP patients.
- Early identification of patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission is crucial to reduce mortality.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if a transcriptomic signature can improve the identification of CAP patients at risk of severe outcomes.
- To compare the predictive performance of a novel gene signature against conventional clinical scores.
Main Methods:
- A prospective observational cohort study (PROGRESS trial) involving 455 hospitalized CAP patients.
- Time-course transcriptomic data from blood samples were analyzed.
- A 5-gene signature (STYCK) was developed and validated for predicting ICU admission or 28-day mortality.
Main Results:
- A 5-gene signature (STYCK) comprising SIGLEC14, TNFSF14, YOD1, CLEC4A, and KLRB1 was identified and validated.
- The STYCK signature demonstrated high predictive accuracy (AUCs > 0.80) for severe CAP.
- STYCK outperformed existing clinical scores and improved the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score's predictive performance.
Conclusions:
- A 5-gene transcriptomic signature (STYCK) can accurately predict severe CAP course and mortality in hospitalized patients.
- STYCK offers superior prediction compared to conventional clinical scores and enhances existing risk assessment tools.
- This transcriptomic approach holds promise for earlier and more precise identification of high-risk CAP patients.
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