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Extracting standard error from the 95% confidence interval of a survival
Atchiman Marilyn Ello1, Anne Lübbeke2,3, Christophe Combescure1,4
1Department of Community Health and Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.
Accurately extracting survival standard errors for meta-analyses is crucial. An incorrect transformation assumption overestimates standard errors, but the Logarithm of the Relative Asymmetry (LRA) approach identifies the correct transformation, mitigating meta-analysis errors.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Survival Analysis
- Meta-Analysis Methodology
Background:
- Accurate extraction of standard errors for survival data from 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) is essential for meta-analyses.
- Current methods often require assumptions about the transformation used to calculate 95%CIs, lacking assessment of incorrect assumption impacts.
- A need exists for a reliable method to identify the correct transformation and improve standard error extraction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose and assess the Logarithm of the Relative Asymmetry (LRA) approach for identifying the transformation used in survival 95%CIs.
- To evaluate the extraction error and the performance of the LRA method.
- To determine the impact of extraction errors and the LRA approach on meta-analysis outcomes.
Main Methods:
- The study introduces the Logarithm of the Relative Asymmetry (LRA) approach, which utilizes the asymmetry of reported 95%CIs to infer the transformation.
- Extraction error (difference between extracted and true standard errors) was assessed.
- The performance of the LRA approach and its impact on meta-analyses were evaluated.
Main Results:
- Incorrect assumptions about the transformation typically lead to overestimation of the standard error, particularly when survival approaches 0 or 1 or with smaller sample sizes.
- The LRA approach successfully identifies the transformation used for 95%CI calculation.
- LRA performance can be affected by the precision of reported survival data and CIs, or when CI bounds are exactly 0 or 1.
Conclusions:
- The LRA approach effectively identifies the transformation for survival 95%CIs, avoiding significant extraction errors.
- This method helps mitigate the propagation of errors into meta-analysis results.
- The LRA approach is recommended for improving the accuracy of standard error extraction in survival meta-analyses.
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