Mortality in Medicare-aged Men With Metastatic Prostate Cancer After the Introduction of Androgen Receptor Pathway

Isaac E Kim1, Rebecca Hartman2, Krupa Gandhi2

  • 1Department of Urology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA.

Urology
|August 4, 2026
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs) showed high uptake in Medicare patients with metastatic prostate cancer. ARPI introduction correlated with a significant 20% reduction in mortality hazard, though stage migration may also contribute to improvements.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Geriatric Medicine
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • Metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) significantly impacts older adults.
  • Androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPIs) represent a key therapeutic advance.
  • Understanding ARPI impact in real-world Medicare populations is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate mortality trends and medication usage post-ARPI introduction in older Medicare beneficiaries with mPCa.
  • To assess the association between ARPI era diagnosis and all-cause mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Cohort identification from the SEER-Medicare Linked Database for newly diagnosed mPCa patients.
  • Classification into pre-ARPI (2006-2012) and ARPI (2013-2019) eras.
  • Mortality analysis using cumulative incidence and Cox proportional hazards regression for adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).

Main Results:

  • Included 9,625 mPCa patients (median age 78); 44.3% received ARPIs in the ARPI era.
  • Significantly decreased mortality observed for M1a (aHR: 0.77) and M1b (aHR: 0.81) disease stages.
  • A trend towards decreased mortality was noted for M1c disease (aHR: 0.90).

Conclusions:

  • ARPIs demonstrated substantial uptake among Medicare patients with mPCa.
  • A significant 20% reduction in mortality hazard was associated with the ARPI era.
  • Potential influence of stage migration on observed mortality improvements warrants further investigation.