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Serum 1,5-Anhydroglucitol Identifies Residual Mortality Risk Beyond Time in Range in Type 2 Diabetes: A Cohort Study
Jiaying Ni1, Lei Chen2, Hang Su1,3
1Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai Clinical Center for Diabetes, Shanghai Diabetes Institute, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Diabetes Mellitus, Shanghai, China.
Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) time in range (TIR) and serum 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5-AG) independently predict mortality in type 2 diabetes. Low 1,5-AG identifies residual risk even when TIR targets are met.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Metabolic Diseases
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Prognostic value of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics and glucose biomarkers for mortality in type 2 diabetes (T2D) requires further clarification.
- Residual risk assessment in T2D patients achieving glycemic targets needs enhanced predictive tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the combined prognostic value of CGM-derived time in range (TIR) and serum 1,5-anhydroglucitol (1,5-AG) for predicting mortality in T2D.
- To assess the independent and complementary roles of TIR and 1,5-AG in mortality risk stratification.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study of 3677 T2D patients with a median follow-up of 7.4 years.
- Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations of baseline TIR and 1,5-AG with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.
- Analysis explored 1,5-AG's performance within TIR subgroups and compared it to CGM-derived glycemic variability metrics.
Main Results:
- TIR and 1,5-AG independently predicted mortality; concurrent low TIR and low 1,5-AG showed the highest risk (HR 1.82).
- Low 1,5-AG significantly increased mortality risk in patients with TIR >70% (HR 1.69), but not in those with TIR ≤70%.
- 1,5-AG improved risk prediction in patients achieving TIR targets; CGM glycemic variability metrics did not significantly associate with mortality.
Conclusions:
- Serum 1,5-AG and CGM-derived TIR provide independent and complementary prognostic information in T2D.
- Low 1,5-AG identifies patients at residual risk of mortality, even when glycemic targets (TIR) are achieved.
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