Identifying Predictors of Pathological Complete Response in Moroccan Patients With HER2-Positive Breast Cancer
Boutaina Atmane1, Jihad El Afeya1, Safae Toumi1
1Department of Medical Oncology, Institut National d'Oncologie, Mohammed V University, Rabat, MAR.
Cureus
|August 5, 2026
Summary
In Moroccan HER2-positive breast cancer patients, achieving pathological complete response (pCR) was linked to better outcomes. Key predictors for pCR included hormone receptor-negative status and dual HER2 blockade therapy.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Clinical Research
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Prognosis for HER2-positive breast cancer improved with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and anti-HER2 therapy.
- Pathological complete response (pCR) correlates with favorable long-term outcomes.
- Limited real-world data exists on pCR predictors in North Africa, necessitating region-specific evidence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess pCR rates in Moroccan HER2-positive breast cancer patients.
- To identify predictors of pCR in this population.
- To evaluate the association between pCR and disease-free survival (DFS).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 203 patients with stage I-III HER2-positive breast cancer.
- Treatment included neoadjuvant chemotherapy with trastuzumab (± pertuzumab), followed by surgery.
- Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze pCR predictors and DFS.
Main Results:
- 44.3% of patients achieved pCR.
- Higher pCR rates were associated with hormone receptor-negative tumors (OR=2.20), HER2 score 3 (OR=4.80), and dual HER2 blockade (OR=2.05).
- Lower pCR rates were observed in T3-T4 tumors (OR=0.45). Achieving pCR significantly improved DFS (HR=0.07, p<0.001).
Conclusions:
- Tumor stage, hormone receptor status, HER2 expression, and neoadjuvant pertuzumab use independently predict pCR.
- These findings highlight the importance of tailored neoadjuvant strategies for HER2-positive breast cancer.
- Region-specific data on pCR predictors is crucial for optimizing treatment in diverse populations.

