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Manufactured Clinical Risk: Why Better Decisions Matter More Than Faster Investigations
Daniel Stewart1, Geoffrey Hardacre2
1Director of Emergency Medicine, Dubbo Health Service, Dubbo, Australia.
Emergency Medicine Australasia : EMA
|August 6, 2026
Summary
Manufactured Clinical Risk (MCR) is a cognitive bias where low-utility tests create perceived risk, leading to unnecessary emergency care. Addressing this bias can improve emergency department performance by reducing unneeded tests and treatments.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive Science
- Healthcare Management
- Emergency Medicine
Background:
- Accurate emergency care requires judicious use of investigations and treatments.
- Recognizing when interventions are unnecessary is crucial for efficient patient care.
Purpose of the Study:
- Introduce Manufactured Clinical Risk (MCR), a cognitive phenomenon.
- Explain how MCR leads to unnecessary investigations and treatments in emergency care.
- Propose MCR as a framework to understand emergency department performance limitations.
Main Methods:
- Conceptual framework development.
- Analysis of cognitive biases in clinical decision-making.
- Literature review on emergency care pathways and performance metrics.
Main Results:
- MCR involves reinterpreting non-instrumental data from low-utility tests as genuine clinical risk.
- MCR stems from relief-based decision-making, prioritizing uncertainty reduction over probability assessment.
- MCR can trigger ambiguity cascades, increasing investigations, referrals, admissions, and treatments without improving diagnostic accuracy.
Conclusions:
- MCR offers a plausible explanation for why accelerating clinical activity doesn't always enhance emergency department performance.
- Improving threshold-based decision-making may reduce unnecessary clinical activity.
- Targeting cognitive biases like MCR could be a novel approach to enhance emergency care efficiency and effectiveness.
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