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Machine Learning-Driven Prediction of Early Enteral Nutrition Intolerance in ICU Patients Using Intra-Abdominal
Kaihui Zheng1, Xuena Zhang1, Lishi Qu2
11Department of Critical Care Medicine, Wenzhou Central Hospital, Wenzhou, China.
Polish Journal of Microbiology
|August 6, 2026
Summary
A new machine learning model combining intra-abdominal pressure and gut microbes accurately predicts early enteral nutrition intolerance in ICU patients. This tool aids in forecasting and managing intolerance in critical care settings.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Machine Learning Applications
- Gut Microbiome Research
Background:
- Enteral nutrition is crucial for critically ill patients but intolerance is common.
- Early identification of enteral nutrition intolerance (EENI) is vital for effective patient management.
- Current methods for predicting EENI have limitations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a machine learning model for early identification of EENI.
- To integrate intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) and gut microbial data for prediction.
- To assess the model's performance and clinical utility.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study of 300 ICU patients receiving early enteral nutrition.
- Collected data included clinical characteristics, IAP, laboratory indices, and gut microbial taxa.
- Used LASSO regression for feature selection and multivariable logistic regression for model development, presented as a nomogram.
Main Results:
- The incidence of EENI was 49%.
- The model identified 16 significant predictors, including IAP and specific gut microbial genera (e.g., Enterococcus, Bacteroides).
- The model demonstrated high predictive performance (AUC 0.900) with good calibration and clinical utility.
Conclusions:
- A machine learning model integrating IAP and gut microbial markers effectively predicts EENI in ICU patients.
- The model shows strong predictive performance and clinical potential for managing EENI.
- This approach offers a novel strategy for early EENI detection and management.
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