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Published on: January 31, 2025
Analysis of risk profiles for Salmonella exposure from pork consumption in China: A combined Meta-analysis and
Chen Xu1, Xianyue Zhai1, Zexi Kan2
1Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Zoonosis, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China; Jiangsu Co-Innovation Center for Prevention and Control of Important Animal Infectious Diseases and Zoonoses, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China; Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Biological Hazard Factors (Animal Origin) for Agrifood Safety and Quality, Ministry of Agriculture of China, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China.
Abstract:
Salmonella can be transmitted through the pork production chain, posing a risk of human infection. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the regional differences in human exposure to various Salmonella serotypes through pork in China. We conducted a meta-analysis to integrate published data on Salmonella prevalence in Chinese pig farms and developed a farm-to-consumption quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model. The model estimated an overall Salmonella prevalence of 8.1% (95% CI: 5.43-11.91%) in live pigs and 13.29% (95% CI: 9.19-18.69%) in pig feces. Using a Beta-Poisson dose-response model, the baseline scenario estimated approximately 3.46 × 106 annual salmonellosis cases attributable to pork consumption in China. The highest risk of infection associated with pork consumption was observed in the western regions of China. In the prevalence-based serotype risk ranking, Salmonella typhimurium ranked first. Optimization of interventions at critical control points, such as using disinfectants during washing and reducing cross-contamination in household kitchens, can effectively reduce the risk of Salmonella contamination.
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