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Published on: June 12, 2021
Trends and disparities in ischemic heart disease and cardiogenic shock mortality in the United States: A 25-year
Syed Tawassul Hassan1, Anushah Faheem Ilyas1, Syeda Lyba Onaiz2
1Karachi Medical and Dental College, Karachi Metropolitan University, Karachi, Sindh, Pakistan.
Insights
Mortality from cardiogenic shock (CS) and ischemic heart disease (IHD) declined overall but sharply increased from 2011-2021. Significant disparities persist for males, American Indians, and rural populations, requiring targeted interventions.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a severe complication of ischemic heart disease (IHD), associated with high mortality.
- Limited data exists on long-term mortality trends and demographic disparities in CS patients with IHD.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess temporal trends in mortality rates for IHD and CS in the United States.
- To identify demographic variations and disparities in mortality among CS patients with IHD.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of the CDC WONDER database for adults aged ≥45 years (1999-2024).
- Extracted deaths with IHD and CS as causes.
- Calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and analyzed trends using Joinpoint regression.
Main Results:
- Overall AAMR for IHD and CS decreased from 14 to 10.9 per 100,000.
- A significant trend reversal occurred from 2011-2021, with AAMRs rising (APC: 4.39).
- Males, Non-Hispanic American Indians, Southern regions, and non-metropolitan areas showed higher AAMRs and/or increasing trends.
Conclusions:
- Despite a long-term decline, US mortality from IHD and CS significantly increased between 2011 and 2021.
- Persistent disparities in mortality exist among males, Non-Hispanic American Indians, older adults, and rural populations.
- Targeted interventions are crucial to address these disparities and mitigate rising mortality rates.
Background:
Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a lethal complication of ischemic heart disease (IHD) leading to increased mortality, yet we lack information on long-term mortality patterns and disparities that exist among CS patients with IHD. Our study assesses temporal trends and demographic variations in mortality associated with IHD and CS in the United States.
Methods:
We analyzed the CDC WONDER database for adults aged ≥45 years from 1999 to 2024. Deaths listing both IHD and CS as underlying or contributing causes were extracted. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population were calculated, and temporal trends were evaluated using Joinpoint regression to estimate the annual percent change (APC).
Results:
Overall, 304,230 mortalities were recorded from 1999 to 2024. The overall AAMR decreased from 14 to 10.9 over the study period. However, after initial declines, a noticeable trend reversal occurred, with rates rising sharply from 2011 to 2021 (APC: 4.39). Males exhibited a twofold higher average AAMR than females (13.1 vs. 6.8). Non-Hispanic (NH) American Indians averaged the highest AAMR (11.2) and exhibited a sustained mortality increase spanning nearly the entire study period. Regionally, the highest rates were observed in the South (9.8) and in non-metropolitan areas (10.7).
Conclusion:
Despite an overall 25-year decline, mortality from IHD and CS surged significantly between 2011 and 2021. Persistent disparities among males, NH American Indians, older individuals, and rural populations highlight the need for targeted interventions.
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