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Published on: April 6, 2020
Trustworthy Multimodal Attention Framework for Creep Rupture Life Prediction Under Data-Scarce Conditions: A Case
Haopeng Lv1, Dayong Wu1, Ziyuan Rao2
1Hebei Short Process Steelmaking Technology Innovation Center, School of Materials Science and Engineering, Hebei University of Science and Technology, Shijiazhuang, People's Republic of China.
Abstract:
An attention-based multimodal deep learning framework is developed to fuse processing parameters with microstructural micrographs for predicting creep rupture life of IN718 under a fixed creep testing condition. Under a predefined composition-stratified, sample-level split, the framework achieved a mean test-set R2 of 0.917 ± 0.014 across 50 random-seed training repetitions. The corresponding mean RMSE and MAPE were 0.14% and 6.0%, respectively. Interpretability analyses suggest that the predictions are consistent with established metallurgical understanding, particularly the important role of δ-phase characteristics. Furthermore, uncertainty quantification endows the model with self-assessment capabilities, allowing it to reliably quantify the confidence of its predictions. This study establishes a methodological framework that unifies predictive accuracy, physical interpretability, and model confidence, providing a validated paradigm for developing trustworthy AI models for materials design under data-limited conditions.
