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External Validation and Feedback-Driven Improvement of the Diagnostic Model for Pediatric Cervical Lymphadenopathy
Rachel M A Vreugdenhil1, Tammo P A Beishuizen2, C Michel Zwaan1,2
1Department of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology, Erasmus Medical Centre-Sophia Children's Hospital, Wytemaweg 80, 3015 CN Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Abstract:
Background/Objectives: Early identification of high-grade lymphoma in children presenting with cervical lymphadenopathy is essential to ensure timely referral while avoiding unnecessary invasive procedures. We have previously developed a diagnostic model to support referral decisions. The aim of this study was to validate this model in an independent cohort and improve it based on clinical feedback and new data. Methods: We included 255 pediatric patients with cervical lymphadenopathy, of whom 62.4% were diagnosed with malignancy. External validity was assessed by applying the original scoring model to the new dataset and calculating the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Thereafter, the model was updated by addressing overlapping predictors, and evaluating additional variables that were identified through univariate analysis. Results: The original model demonstrated stable performance in the new cohort, with sensitivity and specificity remaining within the previously reported 95% confidence intervals. No new clinically relevant predictors emerged beyond those already included in the original model. Model refinement resulted in a simplified model with 9 variables (reduced from 12), which improved clinical usability by reducing redundancy among predictors and facilitating implementation in routine practice. The revised model showed stable diagnostic accuracy with a sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 91% in the new dataset. Conclusions: Our updated diagnostic nine-factor model maintains high diagnostic performance while having a reduced number of variables. These findings support its use as a practical tool for early identification of children at risk of high-grade lymphoma.
