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A Sensor-Aware Physics-Based Framework for Continuous Smartphone Battery State and Lifetime Prediction
Zihan Wu1, Wenxuan Dong1, Ziyan Yang1
1School of Artificial Intelligence, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|August 13, 2026
Summary
This study presents a physics-based framework for predicting smartphone battery state-of-charge (SOC) and time-to-empty (TTE). It identifies CPU workload as the primary factor influencing battery drain, offering insights for energy management.
Area of Science:
- * Mobile computing and energy management.
- * Battery modeling and state estimation.
Background:
- * Accurate prediction of battery state-of-charge (SOC) and time-to-empty (TTE) is crucial for mobile devices.
- * Existing models often lack the granularity to capture complex battery depletion behaviors influenced by multiple factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- * To develop a continuous-time, physics-based framework for predicting smartphone battery SOC and TTE.
- * To incorporate multi-source sensing and device operating information for enhanced prediction accuracy.
- * To provide an interpretable analysis of factors affecting battery consumption.
Main Methods:
- * Utilized a first-order RC equivalent circuit model, extended with six key factors: CPU workload, GPS, screen brightness, network, temperature, and battery aging.
- * Developed a multi-factor coupled SOC model using the GreenHub dataset.
- * Employed K-means clustering and the fourth-order Runge-Kutta algorithm for TTE prediction.
- * Introduced an interpretable factor analysis framework (sensitivity coefficients, partial contribution rates, entropy weights) to quantify factor impacts.
Main Results:
- * Achieved Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 4.2% and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 6.8% for SOC prediction.
- * Identified CPU workload as the dominant factor in battery depletion.
- * Confirmed significant impacts from GPS activity and screen usage on battery consumption.
Conclusions:
- * The proposed framework offers an interpretable and accurate solution for battery state perception in smartphones.
- * Findings provide valuable insights for optimizing energy management strategies in mobile sensing systems.
- * The physics-based approach enhances the understanding of battery dynamics under real-world usage conditions.
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