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MDP modeling for multi-stage stochastic programs
David P Morton1, Oscar Dowson2, Bernardo K Pagnoncelli3
1Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL USA.
Abstract:
We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include decision-dependent uncertainty for one-step transition probabilities as well as a limited form of statistical learning. We focus on the expressiveness of our modeling approach, illustrating ideas with a series of examples of increasing complexity. As a solution method, we develop new variants of stochastic dual dynamic programming, including approximations to handle non-convexities.
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