A Mendelian Randomization Study of Immune Cell Traits and Plasma Metabolites in Hashimoto's Thyroiditis

Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) is an autoimmune disorder of the thyroid. While immune cells are implicated in its pathogenesis, their specific roles have yet to be fully clarified. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted integrating genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics from large public datasets for immune cell traits (ebi-a-GCST90001391 to ebi-a-GCST90002121), plasma metabolites (GCST90199621-9020102), and HT (ebi-a-GCST90018855). Causal effects were estimated using inverse-variance weighted (IVW) methods, with MR-Egger, weighted median, and leave-one-out analyses to assess pleiotropy and robustness. Bidirectional and mediation MR analyses were further applied to test directionality and identify potential metabolite-mediated pathways. CD3⁺CD4⁺CD25⁺CD39⁺Treg cells were quantified in peripheral blood samples using flow cytometry. Isovalerylcarnitine (C5) was measured by liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. IVW analysis identified 32 immune cell phenotypes significantly associated with HT risk (P < 0.05 after FDR correction). Reverse MR analysis demonstrated that HT was positively causally linked with 2 immune characteristics, while 4 immune characteristics (all P < 0.05) were inversely associated with HT. Sensitivity analyses revealed no horizontal pleiotropy or heterogeneity. Additionally, the IVW method preliminarily identified 9 plasma metabolites as causally related to HT, including risk-enhancing C5 (OR = 1.120, 95% CI: 1.032-1.215, P = 0.006) and protective ergothioneine (OR = 0.958, 95% CI: 0.927-0.990, P = 0.010). Two-step MR mediation identified C5 as a candidate mediator connecting CD3⁺ CD39⁺ Treg to HT (mediation proportion 8.89%, 95% CI: 2.34%-15.4%, P = 0.008). Flow cytometry elevated CD39⁺Treg levels and plasma C5 in HT patients, with C5 positively correlated with CD39⁺Treg cells proportion. This study establishes novel causal links between immune cell phenotypes and HT, and highlights plasma metabolites, particularly C5, as potential mediators in HT pathogenesis. These findings deepen mechanistic understanding of autoimmune thyroid disease and may guide future biomarker and therapeutic target discovery.