Diagnostic accuracy and severity prediction of monocyte distribution width in sepsis: a retrospective study from the

Uzma Sabahat1, Liza Thomas1, Eram Anwar2

  • 1Department of Internal Medicine, Rashid Hospital, Dubai Health, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

Frontiers in Medicine
|August 20, 2026
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) shows moderate diagnostic value for sepsis in the UAE, performing similarly to C-reactive protein (CRP) when combined with quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA). This early sepsis biomarker can aid in ruling out infection in emergency settings.

Area of Science:

  • Clinical Pathology
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Biomarker Discovery

Background:

  • Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is an emerging sepsis biomarker from complete blood counts.
  • Previous studies on MDW predominantly originate from North American, European, and East Asian populations.
  • There is a lack of published data on MDW's utility in Middle Eastern populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic performance of Monocyte distribution width (MDW) for sepsis identification in a United Arab Emirates (UAE) tertiary care setting.
  • To compare the efficacy of MDW against established sepsis biomarkers: procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA).
  • To assess the combined diagnostic value of MDW with qSOFA for sepsis detection.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 140 adult patients admitted to Rashid Hospital, Dubai, with confirmed infections in 2024.
  • Patients were classified according to Sepsis-3 criteria: sepsis (n=53), septic shock (n=21), and other infections (n=66).
  • MDW, CRP, PCT, and White Blood Cell (WBC) counts were analyzed; Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were generated for individual markers and composite scores (MDW + qSOFA, CRP + qSOFA).

Main Results:

  • Median MDW levels were significantly different across sepsis, septic shock, and other infection groups (p=0.001).
  • MDW demonstrated moderate diagnostic accuracy (AUC=0.678), outperforming CRP (AUC=0.652) and WBC (AUC=0.590), but below PCT (AUC=0.778).
  • The MDW + qSOFA composite yielded the highest AUC (0.763), comparable to CRP + qSOFA, and MDW was identified as an independent predictor of sepsis (aOR 1.08).

Conclusions:

  • Monocyte distribution width (MDW) shows consistent performance with international findings in a UAE population, suggesting its potential as an early sepsis biomarker.
  • The combination of MDW with qSOFA offers a valuable diagnostic approach, matching the performance of CRP + qSOFA without additional costs.
  • Further prospective, multicenter studies in the Gulf region are recommended to establish region-specific cutoffs and validate findings in broader populations.

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