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Analysis of risk factors for severe acute poisoning in children
Jing Li1,2, Wei Kai Wang1
1The First Clinical Medical College, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China.
Insights
Gastric lavage may reduce severe poisoning in children, while left-behind children and self-poisoning increase risk. Antidote use may indicate higher risk, not cause it.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Toxicology
- Clinical Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Acute poisoning in children is a significant health concern.
- Identifying risk factors for severe poisoning is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent risk factors for the progression of acute poisoning to severe cases in children.
- To provide a basis for early clinical identification and intervention.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study of 726 hospitalized children with acute poisoning.
- Classification into severe (PSS ≥3) and non-severe (PSS <3) groups.
- Binary logistic regression to identify independent risk factors.
Main Results:
- Adolescents had the highest proportion of severe cases (48.1%).
- Gastric lavage was associated with lower odds of severe poisoning (OR=0.355).
- Left-behind children (OR=3.013) and self-poisoning (OR=2.113) were independent risk factors for severe poisoning.
Conclusions:
- Gastric lavage may be clinically valuable in pediatric poisoning.
- Left-behind children and self-poisoning necessitate enhanced supervision and intervention.
- Antidote use association with severity likely reflects confounding by indication.
Objective:
To identify independent risk factors for the progression of acute poisoning to severe cases in children, and to provide a basis for early clinical identification and intervention.
Methods:
A retrospective study was conducted to collect the clinical data of hospitalized children with acute poisoning at Tianshui First People's Hospital from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2025. According to the Poisoning Severity Score (PSS), patients were divided into the severe group (≥3 points) and the non-severe group (<3 points). Variables that were statistically significant in univariate analysis were included in binary logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for severe poisoning.
Results:
A total of 726 children with acute poisoning were enrolled, including 79 (10.9%) severe cases and 647 (89.1%) non-severe cases. Two deaths occurred, with a case fatality rate of 0.3%. The difference across age groups was statistically significant (χ 2 = 10.451, P = 0.015), with adolescents accounting for the highest proportion of severe cases (48.1%, 38/79). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that gastric lavage was significantly associated with lower odds of severe poisoning (OR = 0.355, 95% CI: 0.157-0.800, P = 0.013); antidote use was associated with an increased risk of severe poisoning (OR = 3.156, 95% CI: 1.933-5.152, P < 0.001), while left-behind children (OR = 3.013, 95% CI: 1.558-5.828, P = 0.001) and self-poisoning (OR = 2.113, 95% CI: 1.283-3.481, P = 0.003) were independent risk factors. The ROC curve showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.710 (95% CI: 0.645-0.775).
Conclusions:
Gastric lavage associated with a lower risk of severe poisoning in this pediatric cohort. When strictly indicated, it may remain a procedure of clinical value. Left-behind children and those with self-poisoning are high-risk populations requiring enhanced family supervision, early recognition, and psychological intervention. The association between antidote use and increased risk of severe poisoning likely reflects confounding by indication, and should not delay necessary antidotal therapy.
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