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Fear-driven predator-prey dynamics with prey refuge: analytical framework and physics-informed neural network
1Department of Mathematics, Vellore Institute of Technology, Vellore, India.
Abstract:
Ecological communities are governed not only by direct consumption but also by indirect behavioral responses triggered by perceived predation risk. Predator-induced fear substantially suppresses prey reproductive output and foraging efficiency even when lethal predation is absent, a mechanism documented across a wide range of taxa including songbirds, ungulates, and marine invertebrates. Motivated by this observation, we formulate a deterministic two-species model that simultaneously incorporates fear-mediated prey growth reduction, partial prey refuge, density-dependent intraspecific regulation, and predator self-interference. The proposed model is distinguished from existing fear-refuge frameworks by jointly embedding four ecological mechanisms within a single functional-response denominator 1 + kv + αu, producing qualitatively novel stability thresholds absent in models incorporating only subsets of these effects. Biological admissibility is rigorously established through positivity and uniform boundedness proofs. The boundedness condition is derived from first principles by applying Sylvester's criterion to the cross-interaction quadratic form. Three ecologically meaningful equilibria are identified and their local stability is characterized via carefully re-derived Jacobian linearization and the Routh-Hurwitz criterion. Numerical experiments via the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method reveal convergence to a stable coexistence equilibrium across the explored parameter ranges, with the approach transitioning from a stable node to a stable focus as predation intensifies; no sustained oscillations are observed. A physics-informed neural network (PINN) is constructed with four hidden layers of 64 neurons each, tanh activations, Adam followed by L-BFGS training over 10,000 iterations, and 200 collocation points, achieving maximum absolute errors of 7.98 × 10-3 (prey) and 5.83 × 10-3 (predator) relative to the RK4 reference. Comparison with a data-driven neural network of identical architecture shows a fivefold accuracy improvement from the physics-informed loss. Numerical evidence for global stability is reported; rigorous Lyapunov-based analysis is identified as future work.
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