Improving survival in Duchenne muscular dystrophy across eras: a systematic review and cumulative meta-analysis

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) was historically associated with death in the late teens or early twenties, mainly from respiratory failure. Survival has improved substantially with home mechanical ventilation (HMV) and multidisciplinary care, although variability remains. This study evaluated temporal trends in survival in DMD and the impact of HMV.

A study-level cumulative meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD420251163011) of studies reporting survival outcomes in patients with DMD was conducted (PubMed 1977 to 13 October 2025). Pooled estimates of median survival were calculated, and random-effects meta-analyses with predefined subgroups (HMV and study period) were performed, alongside meta-regressions. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

53 studies (median follow-up 8 years), comprising more than 13,000 patients, of whom 60% received HMV, were included. Median survival differed substantially between ventilated (29 years, 95%CI 27 to 31) and non-ventilated (19 years, 95%CI 18 to 20) patients. Survival improved progressively over time in both groups. Glucocorticoid therapy was not associated with improved survival (p=0.45), whereas treatment with heart failure medications, including renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (p=0.002) and β-blockers (p=0.02), was associated with longer survival. The predominance of mortality shifted from respiratory to cardiac causes, while enhanced cardiac management was associated with a growing contribution of other causes of death.

Survival in DMD has increased substantially over time, with median survival now approaching the third decade of life among ventilated patients. The growing contribution of cardiac and other non-respiratory causes of death highlights the importance of long-term multidisciplinary and early cardioprotective intervention.

The meta-analysis and systematic review have been registered on PROSPERO (CRD420251163011).