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Multimodal risk assessment for oral potentially malignant disorders: Integrating patient-centered and
Michael E Troka1, Alessandro Villa2, James C Gates3
1School of Dental Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA; Now with Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Background:
Oral potentially malignant disorders exhibit heterogeneous malignant transformation risk that clinical approaches fail to adequately predict. Histopathologic dysplasia grading, the reference standard of risk assessment, is associated with poor interobserver reliability and limited prognostic discrimination. It is necessary to define other potential patient- and tissue-associated risk modifiers to improve patient-specific disease prediction.
Types Of Studies Reviewed:
PubMed was queried for patient- and specimen-derived factors as they relate to oral cancer and oral potentially malignant disorders, with preference for systematic review and meta-analysis articles published within the past 5 years. When not available, guidelines from the American Cancer Society, National Cancer Institute, or other national organizations or the most recent best articles were referenced to support the data presented.
Results:
Within patient-associated factors, validated measures of tobacco and alcohol exposure, clinical lesion characteristics, systemic health factors including metabolic syndrome components, comorbidity risk, and dental health indexes were found. Within specimen-derived data, tissue-based analyses encompassing histopathology and advanced molecular profiling (genomic, epigenomic, transcriptomic, spatial approaches), blood-based germline and somatic mutation analysis, and saliva-based microbiome characterization and inflammatory biomarker assessment were addressed.
Practical Implications:
Malignant transformation reflects intersecting patient and specimen risk pathways that affect each patient differently; no single modality captures this complexity. Realizing precision prognostication in oral precancer will require coordinated expansion and standardization of data collection across research groups. This review is intended to guide covariate selection for prospective study design, improve reproducibility, and ultimately enable the development of validated multimodal risk prediction tools for clinical deployment.
