A cuproptosis-related lncRNAs-based risk signature for predicting prognosis and immune status in glioma

Glioma is one of the most prevalent primary malignant brain tumors, characterized by poor prognosis and limited treatment options. Recent studies have identified cuproptosis, a novel copper-dependent form of regulated cell death, as a critical mechanism involved in tumor progression. However, the role of cuproptosis-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in glioma remains not fully clarified. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model based on cuproptosis-associated lncRNAs to predict patient outcomes and guide individualizing therapeutic strategies.

Transcriptomic profiles and clinical data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), The Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx), and the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) databases. Cuproptosis -related prognostic lncRNAs were filtered via univariate and multivariate Cox and Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses, which were selected to establish a prognostic model for glioma. Samples were divided into high- and low-risk groups, and the predictive performance of the prognostic model was evaluated based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves, and a nomogram. In addition, immune cell infiltration, tumor mutational burden (TMB), immunophenoscore (IPS), Tumor Immune Dysfunction and Exclusion (TIDE) and drug sensitivity were analyzed. Expression levels of selected lncRNAs and proteins were validated using quantitative real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and Western blotting.

An 11-lncRNA signature associated with cuproptosis was established, and the risk score derived from this model was identified as an independent prognostic factor for glioma. The model exhibited excellent predictive ability, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.880, 0.913, and 0.866 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, respectively. Higher TMB, immune checkpoint expression, and IPS were observed in the high-risk group and no significant difference was observed in TIDE between risk groups. Drug sensitivity analysis identified TPCA-1, KIN001-135, and ispinesib mesylate as potential therapeutic agents. Expression validation in glioma cells further supported the biological relevance of the selected lncRNAs.

This cuproptosis-related lncRNA-based signature demonstrates strong prognostic value and may serve as a promising tool for glioma risk stratification and personalized treatment selection.