Imprecision Can Promote Illusions of Understanding
Julia M Haaf1, Nicole Cruz1, Anne Giacobello1
1Department of Psychology, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24-25, Potsdam, 14476 Brandenburg Germany.
Abstract:
The essay by Shiffrin, Stigler, and Keil (2026) opens a valuable discussion on the limitations of understanding in scientific practice and theory development. Here, we argue that the essay sometimes lacks precision, which in itself may nurture illusions of understanding. The goal of this commentary is therefore to more precisely discuss three themes from the essay: Regression to the mean, the critique of formal modeling, and the nature of researchers' limitations. We end with a brief outlook on how illusions of understanding could be mitigated.
Related Concept Videos
Cause and Effect
Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision
Accuracy and Precision
Accuracy and Precision
Introspection
First Impression


