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Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality Among Hospitalized Colistin-Treated Patients at a Tertiary Urology-Nephrology
Viorel Dragos Radu1, Ana-Maria Raluca Pauna1, Rodica Radu1
1"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Universitatii No. 16 Street, 700115 Iasi, Romania.
Abstract:
Background/Objectives: Colistin is a last-resort agent against multidrug-resistant Gram-negative infections and is administered predominantly to complex, comorbid inpatients in whom mortality is high. We aimed to identify independent baseline predictors of in-hospital mortality in colistin-treated patients and to characterize temporal changes in mortality over 15 years. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1225 consecutive patients receiving systemic colistin between November 2009 and November 2024 at Parhon Hospital, a tertiary urology-nephrology center in Iași, Romania; independent predictors of death were identified using multivariable logistic regression restricted to variables fixed at the time of colistin initiation, reported as adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Patients were predominantly male (60.2%), with a mean age of 65.1 ± 14.4 years; 85.6% were admitted to urology or nephrology. In-hospital mortality was 27.6%. Mortality was independently associated with acute kidney injury (aOR 3.72, 95% CI 2.76-5.01), sepsis (aOR 2.79, 95% CI 2.11-3.70), emergency admission (aOR 1.91, 95% CI 1.40-2.61), Charlson comorbidity index (aOR 1.13 per point, 95% CI 1.05-1.22), and older age (aOR 1.03 per year, 95% CI 1.02-1.04); sex was not associated. Crude mortality increased across the study period (odds ratio 1.16 per year, 95% CI 1.13-1.20) and remained elevated after adjustment for case-mix (adjusted odds ratio 1.13 per year, 95% CI 1.09-1.17). Conclusions: Acute kidney injury, sepsis, emergency admission, comorbidity burden, and age were independently associated with in-hospital death. Mortality rose progressively over 15 years, only partly explained by an increasingly severe case-mix, supporting early risk stratification of colistin recipients.
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