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Published on: September 6, 2018
Spatial Agglomeration of Industrial Nitrous Oxide Emissions Dictates Targeted Mitigation for China's Climate Goals
Jing Guo1, Beiming Cai2,3, Chen Lyu1
1Center for Carbon Neutrality, Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning, Beijing100043, China.
Abstract:
Nitrous oxide (N2O) currently lacks high-resolution urban data, hindering targeted regional mitigation. To address this, we developed a bottom-up N2O emission inventory for 339 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2024. We find national emissions substantially exceed international estimates due to uncounted industrial sources, revealing a spatial shift from diffuse agriculture to concentrated industrial hotspots, with just 7% of cities generating 40% of the national total. In these hubs, rapid industrial process growth completely offsets energy-efficiency gains, underscoring the urgent necessity for process-specific abatement technologies over general energy policies. Scenario modeling demonstrates that implementing targeted controls in the top-five emitting cities across the six clusters reduces the peak by 9.26%, directly fulfilling the N2O reduction targets under China's 2035 Nationally Determined Contribution. This framework translates macro-level climate goals into actionable municipal roadmaps, providing a critical N2O mitigation reference for cities across the Global South.