Characterizing the Burden of Scrub Typhus in Nepalese Children using Representative School-Based Cross-Sectional...

Scrub typhus, an acute bacterial infection caused by Orientia tsutsugamushi , is an important, under-recognized etiology of febrile illness in South Asia. Accurate surveillance for scrub typhus in Nepal is challenging due to non-specific symptoms and limited diagnostic tools.

We conducted a representative school-based cross-sectional serosurvey in Kavrepalanchok and Dolakha, Nepal between November 2021 and April 2022 using two-stage sampling, we randomly selected 13 public schools and then up to 100 children aged 4-18 years per school. We collected capillary blood samples and tested for IgG responses to Orientia tsutsugamushi -derived recombinant 56-kDa antigen using commercially available ELISA kits. We estimated seroincidence rates using previously-published models of antibody decay dynamics from confirmed scrub typhus cases. We compared seroincidence to seroprevalence estimates using cutoffs derived from Gaussian finite mixture models applied to the study population.

We enrolled a total of 827 children (participation rate: 94.8%). The median age was 10 years (IQR: 8-13), and 53.08% of the participants were female. The overall seroincidence rate was 6.3 new infections per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 4.7- 8.4), and the rate was slightly higher in peri-urban Kavrepalanchok (7.3; 95% CI: 4.9 - 10.3) compared with rural Dolakha (5.3; 95% CI: 3.3 - 8.5). Seroincidence increased with age, from 3.6 new infections per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 1.4- 9.7) among children aged 4- 7 years to 9.4 (95% CI: 6.2-14.3) among children aged 14-18 years. Seroincidence was higher in females (8.3; 95% CI: 5.9 -11.8) than in males (4.1; 95% CI: 2.4 - 6.9) (p=0.02). The overall seroprevalence was 6.5% (95% CI: 4.9-8.4) and followed a similar age and geographic trend to the seroincidence rate.

Our findings reveal a substantial burden of pediatric scrub typhus in the Kavrepalanchok and Dolakha districts of Nepal. Seroincidence increased with age and was higher among females. School-based serosurveys offer an efficient sampling frame to rapidly assess population-level scrub typhus transmission intensity among children and adolescents, though may not represent out-of-school populations.